| Review
of
Untapped,
by John Ghazvinian (Hardcover, 2007)
Reviewer:
Mark Lamendola, author of over 6,000 articles.
The first thing that struck me about this book is that Ghazvinian
has a gift for writing. In a market swamped with books that exemplify
poor writing, that's saying a lot. But it's not the only reason to read
this book.
Oil is one of those
topics that is frequently abused with misdirection, misinformation, and
misconceptions. So, I grudgingly agreed to read and review this book.
After reading it, I though of a new twist on an old adage. Don't judge a book by its
topic. I have to give this book high marks, all the way
around.
One of the common misconceptions about oil is that most
of it is in the Middle East and Central America. The truth is that Africa has vast amounts
of oil that we are only beginning to discover. Ghazvinian provides some
startling statistics on the offshore reserves alone.
Another common misconception is that any country
with large oil reserves will also have great
wealth. Actually, oil can--and often does--impoverish a country. Ghazvinian explains why,
and provides detailed accounts of how this actually happened in case
after case. The devastating effects of mismanagement following the
discovery of oil, are unfortunately, the lead story of every country on
the west coast of Africa.
The United States now imports most of its oil.
Most people do not realize that if Americans made a few minor
adjustments, the United States could be a
net exporter of oil. Instead, Americans drive gas
guzzlers and take unnecessary trips. This boosts the international
demand for oil, and that demand is now escalating even faster as China and India
ramp up their economies.
Even fewer people realize that the cost of
extracting the oil to meet the demand goes far beyond the cost of
equipment and oil company salaries. Everybody in an "oil rich" nation wants the "free ride" that
purportedly comes with having oil in one's backyard. Tiny-minded
"leaders" of oil-rich nations engage in what economists call
"rent-seeking behavior," which leads to a distorted and
counterproductive attitude toward managing every aspect of the nation's
economy and resources. This results in a great deal of tension and illicit profiteering,
plus the rise of a parasite class that makes its host quite ill. The abuses, pain, and suffering
don't have to happen, but they do.
Ghazvinian doesn't propose any solutions, which is
something I commend him on. He doesn't pretend to be an expert. Instead,
he describes exactly what he sees going on and digs a bit deeper to give
the reader the important background information so that
understanding and proper perspective are possible.
No help from politicians
The extraction, transportation, and distribution
of oil has become highly politicized. Unfortunately, this means
politicians are heavily involved and that is never a good thing. For
example, consider the USA. We have 435 Congressmen
drawing nearly $200,000 a year each in salaries. They are completely out
of touch with 90% of the people they "represent," partly because of the
enormous income differential.
They constantly run for election, which means
leaves zero time to do anything of value. They have no time to learn
about the issues, much less "represent" the people who suffer from the
bone-headed legislation they produce. They propose "solutions" based on
polls of uninformed people or based on what financial supporters
"suggest."
Their "energy policy"
proposals range from the absurd to the merely pointless. If there is
evidence that our politicians serve any purpose other than to hand out
money to special interest groups, it's extremely well-hidden. An
informed electorate, in theory, could begin to hold politicians
accountable and actually have representation in the legislature.
Yet, expecting a sensible oil policy from Congress
is both naive and hopeless. After all, this is the same bunch that have been tinkering with the
federal tax code for nearly a century and still have an unconscionable
mess. Americans are saddled with a 65,000 page code and one of the most
hated and corrupt government agencies ever to exist.
Progress on the oil problem, especially
with demand skyrocketing due to China and India, has to begin with
ordinary
Americans. Just as one example, consider that 80% of American cars
have a fuel-wasting automatic transmission while in Europe only 20% of
cars do. Americans can easily cut oil consumption by half.
Where we're headed
Perhaps if most Americans understood where oil comes from and the
true costs involved, we might take it upon ourselves to be responsible about how we use it.
Perhaps
Ghazvinian's book will help bring about this change. Ghazvinian
doesn't make any predictions. But he provides such a clear picture of
the situation in Africa that the reader can be fairly confident things
are not going to improve any time soon. With demand on a steep upward
trajectory, there's no doubt that more oil will be extracted from
Africa. Most if it will be extracted offshore, which will help mitigate
some of the negatives. But given that the institutional and cultural
deficiencies responsible for the present state of misery show no signs
of correction, we can't expect things to just work out as if by magic.
I think it's great any time someone introduces
accurate information into a highly charged environment of disinformation
and opportunism. That's exactly what Ghazvinian has done with this
factual and well-written book. People who read this book will be better
off for having done so. |